13 Jul · 21:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
ZZ
🇨🇿Zbynek Zientek
ELO 1460
FormWLWLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Zientek
DP
🇨🇿Daniel Priesol
ELO 1448
FormWWLLW
51%
49%
🔥 Underdog lean · Priesol🌟Zientek goes over total as favourite 74% (38)
Fair odds · Zientek
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 55% · 1.80· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+12
H2H13-13
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.