13 Jul · 17:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MV
🇨🇿Michal Vedmoch
ELO 1611
FormWWLWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Vedmoch
AB
🇨🇿Adam Brazda
ELO 1464
FormLLLLL
58%
42%
Fair odds · Vedmoch
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~74 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
19%
3-0
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+147
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+147)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)