13 Jul · 16:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JV
🇨🇿Jakub Vales
ELO 1739
FormWWWLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Vales
JN
🇨🇿Jiri Nesnera
ELO 1687
FormWLLLW
53%
47%
🌟Vales rarely covers set handicap as favourite 36% (90)
Fair odds · Vales
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+52
H2H2-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.