13 Jul · 22:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
LV
🇨🇿Lukas Velicka
ELO 1513
FormLLWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Velicka
VC
🇨🇿Vojtech Cerny
ELO 1477
FormWWLLL
52%
48%
🌟Cerny stays under total as underdog 92% (12)
Fair odds · Velicka
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+36
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.