13 Jul · 14:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AR
🇨🇿Alfred Rinka
ELO 1494
FormWWWWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Adamczyk
VA
🇨🇿Vladimir Adamczyk
ELO 1558
FormLLWWL
47%
53%
🌟Adamczyk stays under total as favourite 62% (40)
Fair odds · Adamczyk
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+64
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.