13 Jul · 18:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OS
🇨🇿Ondrej Svacha
ELO 1628
FormWWWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Svacha
AB
🇨🇿Ales Barton
ELO 1582
FormLLLWL
52%
48%
🌟Barton covers set handicap as underdog 62% (24)
Fair odds · Svacha
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+46
H2H9-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.