13 Jul · 22:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JZ
🇨🇿Jan Zajicek
ELO 1800
FormLWLLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Zajicek
JV
🇨🇿Jakub Vales
ELO 1739
FormWWWLL
53%
47%
🌟Vales covers set handicap as underdog 64% (42)
Fair odds · Zajicek
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 64% · 1.55· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+61
H2H15-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.