13 Jul · 17:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
PB
🇨🇿Petr Bradach
ELO 1730
FormWWWLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Vales
JV
🇨🇿Jakub Vales
ELO 1739
FormWWWLL
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Vales🌟Bradach stays under total as underdog 79% (14)
Fair odds · Vales
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 41% · 2.43· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+9
H2H2-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.