13 Jul · 21:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
ZB
🇨🇿Zdenek Bilek
ELO 1764
FormLWWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Zajicek
JZ
🇨🇿Jan Zajicek
ELO 1800
FormLWLLW
48%
52%
🌟Bilek covers set handicap as underdog 73% (30)
Fair odds · Zajicek
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 53% · 1.87· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~74 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+36
H2H27-23
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.