13 Jul · 21:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
TM
🇨🇿Tomas Milota
ELO 1492
FormLLWLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Milota
VC
🇨🇿Vojtech Cerny
ELO 1477
FormWWLLL
51%
49%
🌟Cerny stays under total as underdog 92% (12)
Fair odds · Milota
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 59% · 1.71· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+15
H2H2-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.