13 Jul · 21:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DL
🇨🇿Daniel Langer
ELO 1639
FormWLWLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Langer
LV
🇨🇿Lukas Velicka
ELO 1513
FormLLWWL
57%
43%
🌟Velicka goes over total as underdog 67% (21)
Fair odds · Langer
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+126
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+126)