13 Jul · 20:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
LV
🇨🇿Lukas Velicka
ELO 1513
FormLLWWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Velicka
TM
🇨🇿Tomas Milota
ELO 1492
FormLLWLL
51%
49%
🔥 Underdog lean · Milota🌟Velicka goes over total as favourite 86% (14)
Fair odds · Velicka
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~79 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+21
H2H5-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.