13 Jul · 17:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
DU
🇨🇿Daniel Unzeitig
ELO 1474
FormWLWLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Holubec
JH
🇨🇿Jiri Holubec
ELO 1494
FormWLWLL
49%
51%
Fair odds · Holubec
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+20
H2H4-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.