13 Jul · 21:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AS
🇨🇿Antonin Schneeberger
ELO 1407
FormLLLLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Stach
JS
🇨🇿Jiri Stach
ELO 1467
FormLWLWL
47%
53%
Fair odds · Stach
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 58% · 1.74· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+60
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.