13 Jul · 18:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
PB
🇨🇿Petr Bradach
ELO 1730
FormWWWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Bradach
JN
🇨🇿Jiri Nesnera
ELO 1687
FormWLLLW
52%
48%
🌟Bradach stays under total as favourite 68% (19)
Fair odds · Bradach
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 47% · 2.15· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+43
H2H3-9
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.