13 Jul · 20:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MV
🇨🇿Michal Vedmoch
ELO 1611
FormWWLWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Vedmoch
MV
🇨🇿Martin Vizek
ELO 1548
FormWLWWW
53%
47%
🔥 Underdog lean · Vizek
Fair odds · Vedmoch
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 27% · 3.64· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+63
H2H0-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.