13 Jul · 17:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JS
🇨🇿Jan Stoch
ELO 1473
FormLLWWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Skacelik
RS
🇨🇿Richard Skacelik
ELO 1571
FormLWLWW
45%
55%
🔥 Underdog lean · Stoch🌟Skacelik goes over total as favourite 67% (43)
Fair odds · Skacelik
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+98
H2H4-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+98)