13 Jul · 18:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
FW
🇨🇿Filip Wolf
ELO 1638
FormLWWLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Vales
JV
🇨🇿Jakub Vales
ELO 1739
FormWWWLL
45%
55%
🔥 Underdog lean · Wolf🌟Vales rarely covers set handicap as favourite 36% (90)
Fair odds · Vales
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 66% · 1.52· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+101
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+101)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)