13 Jul · 18:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DU
🇨🇿Daniel Unzeitig
ELO 1474
FormWLWLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Petrek
TP
🇨🇿Tomas Petrek
ELO 1602
FormWWLWW
43%
57%
Fair odds · Petrek
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+128
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+128)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)