12 Jul · 19:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JL
🇨🇿Jiri Louda
ELO 1621
FormWWLLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Louda
OK
🇨🇿Oleksandr Kolisnyk
ELO 1608
FormWLWWL
51%
49%
🌟Louda rarely covers set handicap as favourite 38% (145)
Fair odds · Louda
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 41% · 2.43· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+13
H2H8-15
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.