12 Jul · 19:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RU
🇨🇿Radim Urbaniec
ELO 1611
FormWWWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Jr
JJ
🇨🇿Jan Mecl Jr
ELO 1653
FormWLWWW
48%
52%
Fair odds · Jr
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+42
H2H7-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.