12 Jul · 19:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MB
🇨🇿Miroslav Barta
ELO 1470
FormWWWWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Barta
JG
🇨🇿Jiri Grohsgott
ELO 1369
FormWWLLL
55%
45%
🔥 Underdog lean · Grohsgott🌟Barta stays under total as favourite 67% (39)
Fair odds · Barta
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~71 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+101
H2H23-21
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+101)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (23-21)