12 Jul · 19:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
SB
🇨🇿Samuel Byrtus
ELO 1576
FormWWWWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Byrtus
DH
🇨🇿David Heczko
ELO 1552
FormWLWWW
51%
49%
🔥 Underdog lean · Heczko🌟Byrtus rarely covers set handicap as favourite 29% (48)
Fair odds · Byrtus
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 48% · 2.09· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+24
H2H8-10
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.