13 Jul · 21:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
AS
🇨🇿Antonin Schneeberger
ELO 1407
FormLLLLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Mikula
DM
🇨🇿David Mikula
ELO 1422
FormLWLWL
49%
51%
Fair odds · Mikula
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+15
H2H4-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.