14 Jul · 08:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
PB
🇨🇿Petr Banot
ELO 1427
FormWLWWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Banot
AK
🇨🇿Alois Kanak
ELO 1376
FormLWLLL
53%
47%
Fair odds · Banot
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 27% · 3.64· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+51
H2H1-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.