14 Jul · 09:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JS
🇨🇿Jiri Svec
ELO 1315
FormWLLWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Grohsgott
JG
🇨🇿Jiri Grohsgott
ELO 1389
FormWWWWL
46%
54%
🌟Grohsgott stays under total as favourite 63% (92)
Fair odds · Grohsgott
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+74
H2H80-48
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.