14 Jul · 09:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VR
🇨🇿Vaclav Rybar
ELO 1501
FormWLWWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Rybar
PB
🇨🇿Petr Banot
ELO 1427
FormWLWWW
54%
46%
Fair odds · Rybar
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+74
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.