14 Jul · 09:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VH
🇨🇿Vladimir Havlicek
ELO 1477
FormWLLWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Parhomenko
DP
🇨🇿Dmitro Parhomenko
ELO 1495
FormWLWWW
49%
51%
Fair odds · Parhomenko
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+18
H2H18-13
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.