14 Jul · 08:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RA
🇨🇿Radek Adamczyk
ELO 1449
FormLWLLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Rybar
VR
🇨🇿Vaclav Rybar
ELO 1501
FormWLWWW
47%
53%
🌟Adamczyk covers set handicap as underdog 67% (12)
Fair odds · Rybar
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 42% · 2.36· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+52
H2H0-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.