14 Jul · 09:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AK
🇨🇿Alois Kanak
ELO 1376
FormLWLLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Adamczyk
RA
🇨🇿Radek Adamczyk
ELO 1449
FormLWLLW
46%
54%
🌟Adamczyk rarely covers set handicap as favourite 27% (15)
Fair odds · Adamczyk
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+73
H2H2-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.