14 Jul · 13:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
TZ
🇨🇿Tadeas Zika
ELO 1624
FormLLWWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Sedlacek
MS
🇨🇿Michael Sedlacek
ELO 1744
FormLWLWL
44%
56%
🔥 Underdog lean · Zika🌟Sedlacek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 26% (76)
Fair odds · Sedlacek
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+120
H2H63-33
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+120)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (63-33)