14 Jul · 17:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MB
🇨🇿Martin Biolek
ELO 1692
FormWLWLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Biolek
TZ
🇨🇿Tadeas Zika
ELO 1624
FormLLWWL
54%
46%
🔥 Underdog lean · Zika🌟Zika covers set handicap as underdog 72% (250)
Fair odds · Biolek
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 62% · 1.60· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+68
H2H31-17
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.