15 Jul · 10:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
LP
🇨🇿Libor Prikasky
ELO 1642
FormWLWWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Prikasky
MH
🇨🇿Martin Huk
ELO 1578
FormWWLLL
53%
47%
Fair odds · Prikasky
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+64
H2H9-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.