15 Jul · 10:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
RR
🇨🇿Radomir Revay
ELO 1644
FormWLLLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Polasek
RP
🇨🇿Radovan Polasek
ELO 1656
FormLWLWL
49%
51%
🔥 Underdog lean · Revay🌟Revay covers set handicap as underdog 72% (105)
Fair odds · Polasek
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~78 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+12
H2H69-55
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.