15 Jul · 09:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JJ
🇨🇿Jan Mecl Jr
ELO 1676
FormWWLWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Jr
MH
🇨🇿Martin Huk
ELO 1578
FormWWLLL
55%
45%
🔥 Underdog lean · Huk
Fair odds · Jr
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+98
H2H54-36
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+98)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (54-36)