15 Jul · 09:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AS
🇨🇿Antonin Schneeberger
ELO 1409
FormLWLWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Varecha
PV
🇨🇿Pavel Varecha
ELO 1503
FormWWWWL
45%
55%
🌟Varecha stays under total as favourite 64% (28)
Fair odds · Varecha
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~74 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+94
H2H7-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+94)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-1)