15 Jul · 09:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
ZZ
🇨🇿Zbynek Zientek
ELO 1441
FormLLLWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Zientek
DM
🇨🇿David Mikula
ELO 1430
FormWWWLL
51%
49%
🌟Zientek goes over total as favourite 73% (41)
Fair odds · Zientek
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+11
H2H4-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.