15 Jul · 09:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JS
🇨🇿Jiri Svec
ELO 1322
FormWWLWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Chalupnicek
MC
🇨🇿Milan Chalupnicek
ELO 1331
FormLLLLL
50%
50%
🌟Chalupnicek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 21% (28)
Fair odds · Chalupnicek
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 42% · 2.36· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+9
H2H39-27
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.