15 Jul · 21:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
ML
🇨🇿Miloslav Lubas
ELO 1359
FormWLLWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Franc
PF
🇨🇿Petr Franc
ELO 1428
FormWLLWW
46%
54%
🌟Franc stays under total as favourite 67% (12)
Fair odds · Franc
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~72 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+69
H2H3-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.