15 Jul · 21:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MP
🇨🇿Marcel Pikous
ELO 1604
FormLLLWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Pikous
PS
🇨🇿Petr Sebera
ELO 1548
FormLWWLL
53%
47%
Fair odds · Pikous
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 69% · 1.46· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+56
H2H27-10
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.