15 Jul · 22:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MK
🇨🇿Michal Koral
ELO 1527
FormWWWWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Koral
VC
🇨🇿Vojtech Cerny
ELO 1437
FormLLLLL
55%
45%
🌟Cerny stays under total as underdog 82% (17)
Fair odds · Koral
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
1-3
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+90
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+90)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)