15 Jul · 20:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
EG
🇨🇿Evald Gebek
ELO 1569
FormWWWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Gebek
MK
🇨🇿Michal Koral
ELO 1527
FormWWWWW
52%
48%
Fair odds · Gebek
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+42
H2H2-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.