15 Jul · 21:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VC
🇨🇿Vojtech Cerny
ELO 1437
FormLLLLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Gebek
EG
🇨🇿Evald Gebek
ELO 1569
FormWWWLW
43%
57%
🌟Cerny stays under total as underdog 82% (17)
Fair odds · Gebek
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~78 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+132
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+132)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)