16 Jul · 01:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MK
🇨🇿Michal Kratochvil
ELO 1508
FormLLLLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Huk
MH
🇨🇿Martin Huk
ELO 1578
FormWWLLL
46%
54%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kratochvil🌟Huk rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (193)
Fair odds · Huk
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 44% · 2.27· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+70
H2H0-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.