15 Jul · 22:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JG
🇨🇿Jiri Grohsgott
ELO 1378
FormWLWLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Franc
PF
🇨🇿Petr Franc
ELO 1428
FormWLLWW
47%
53%
🔥 Underdog lean · Grohsgott🌟Franc stays under total as favourite 67% (12)
Fair odds · Franc
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~72 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+50
H2H8-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.