15 Jul · 09:00 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
AB
🇨🇿Ales Bayer
ELO 1540
3-1Final setsBayer won
DT
🇨🇿Daniel Tuma
ELO 1534
What the model said
Before the match, the model favoured Tuma at 51%. The actual result was Ales Bayer 3-1 — the underdog won.
How the markets settled
The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.
Match winner
Daniel Tuma favoured — closing 1.85
Total 76.5
84 points played
Set handicap
Daniel Tuma −1.5 sets
Points handicap
Daniel Tuma −1.5 points
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.27
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
Win probability
Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Ales Bayer is favoured to win, below means Daniel Tuma.
▲ Ales Bayerpre 53% → final 100%
Daniel Tuma ▼
Biggest swing 66 ptsBayer recovered from 34%56 points · 3 games