16 Jul · 09:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JP
🇨🇿Jaroslav Prokupek
ELO 1458
FormLLWWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Vedmoch
MV
🇨🇿Michal Vedmoch
ELO 1532
FormLLWLL
46%
54%
Fair odds · Vedmoch
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 44% · 2.27· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+74
H2H20-33
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.