16 Jul · 10:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MV
🇨🇿Michal Vedmoch
ELO 1532
FormLLWLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Vedmoch
JS
🇨🇿Jakub Stolfa
ELO 1502
FormLLLWL
52%
48%
🔥 Underdog lean · Stolfa🌟Stolfa covers set handicap as underdog 62% (24)
Fair odds · Vedmoch
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+30
H2H6-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.