16 Jul · 10:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
TP
🇨🇿Tomas Petrek
ELO 1560
FormLLLLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Adamczyk
VA
🇨🇿Vladimir Adamczyk
ELO 1572
FormWWWWW
49%
51%
🌟Adamczyk stays under total as favourite 67% (45)
Fair odds · Adamczyk
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 42% · 2.36· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~73 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+12
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.