16 Jul · 17:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JK
🇨🇿Jan Kanera
ELO 1595
FormWLWLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Simecek
JS
🇨🇿Jan Simecek
ELO 1610
FormLLLWL
49%
51%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kanera🌟Simecek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 26% (23)
Fair odds · Simecek
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~78 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+15
H2H5-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.